In The News

Office valuations drop again as market has yet to find bottom

Published Wednesday, March 5, 2025

The U.S. office market continued its decline in 2024, with property values dropping 11% on average as remote and hybrid work reshape demand. High-end Class A buildings saw the steepest losses at 22%, while outdated properties remain vacant, struggling to attract tenants. Central business districts (CBDs) took the hardest hit, with office prices plunging 28% in 2024 and 60% over five years.

Investors are eyeing Class B and C properties in prime locations for potential conversions, but uncertainty looms over whether the market has hit bottom. With more distressed sales and possible foreclosures on the horizon, 2025 could bring further shakeups—or the first signs of stabilization.

Harry Potter to open up shop on Chicago’s Magnificent Mile

Published Monday, March 3, 2025

A magical shopping experience is coming to Chicago this spring! Opening April 10 at 676 N Michigan Ave., the new Harry Potter store will transport fans into the wizarding world with immersive attractions, exclusive merchandise, and the largest Butterbeer Bar in the U.S. Inspired by Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire, the store’s design brings the Triwizard Tournament to life—featuring fiery broomsticks, a shimmering Golden Egg, and a maze-like floor leading to the checkout. Guests can explore the Room of Wands, indulge in wizarding sweets, and grab Chicago-exclusive collectibles. With its spellbinding design and city-inspired touches, this shop promises an unforgettable magical experience for every Potter fan!

South Florida’s Office Cooldown Expected To Continue Through 2025

Published Friday, February 28, 2025

After a post-pandemic leasing frenzy, South Florida’s office market is taking a much-needed “breath,” according to Avison Young leaders. While Miami’s office rents have soared over 50% since 2019—hitting an average of $61.49 per square foot—leasing activity has slowed, and vacancy rates have crept up.

Experts predict that while rents may flatten, a major drop isn’t expected. The market is simply following its natural cycle, Avison Young CEO Mark Rose said, emphasizing that “what goes up must come down.” With return-to-office mandates and steady demand, 2025 could still see growth, even if the pace has cooled.

The National Observer: A 'warning sign' in real estate; law firms get a new look

Published Wednesday, February 26, 2025

St. Louis County is moving toward creating its first land bank, a move supporters say will help repurpose vacant properties and boost housing inventory. However, experts warn that the need for a land bank signals deeper issues—such as weak demand for redevelopment—which could raise concerns about the county’s long-term growth.

Meanwhile, Atlanta-based Aprio is shaking up the legal industry by launching a law firm through a merger with Radix Law under Arizona’s Alternative Business Service program. By allowing non-lawyers to be co-owners, Aprio aims to offer a one-stop shop for tax, accounting, and legal services—potentially setting a new precedent in the industry.

Retail sales fall 0.9% in January amid holiday hangover, cold weather

Published Monday, February 24, 2025

Retail sales took a bigger dip than expected in January, falling 0.9% after a strong holiday season, as cold weather and economic factors cooled consumer spending. This was the largest monthly decline in a year, surpassing economists’ predictions, though sales remained 4.2% higher year-over-year. Core retail sales, which exclude autos, gas, and restaurants, also dropped 0.9% month-over-month but saw a 4% annual gain.

Experts say the slowdown isn’t surprising after a robust holiday season, with weaker payroll growth and lingering inflation pressures playing a role. Sporting goods, online shopping, and auto sales saw the biggest drops, while gas stations and dining out held steady. Despite the dip, analysts remain optimistic, pointing to a stable economy and modest retail growth in 2025—though tariffs and policy shifts could shake things up.

Placer.ai: Mall visits see increase in January

Published Friday, February 21, 2025

Malls kicked off 2025 with strong foot traffic, despite an arctic blast keeping many shoppers home. According to Placer.ai, indoor mall visits surged 5.5% in January compared to last year, while open-air shopping centers and outlet malls saw smaller but steady gains. Interestingly, the boost came from casual visitors rather than regulars, suggesting malls are drawing in a broader audience. While traffic naturally dipped from December’s holiday highs, the data hints at significant growth potential for malls in 2025—giving retailers a prime opportunity to turn one-time shoppers into loyal customers.

NRF: Retail sales fall in January, but show strong year-over-year gains

Published Wednesday, February 19, 2025

After a strong holiday season, consumers hit the brakes on spending in January, with core retail sales dipping 1.27% from December but still rising 5.72% year-over-year, according to the CNBC/NRF Retail Monitor. While monthly sales fell across most categories, online shopping, health and personal care, and clothing stores saw solid annual growth. Despite the slowdown, experts say consumers remain financially resilient, shifting spending strategically between essentials and non-essentials. With wage growth outpacing inflation, retail remains strong, though spending patterns continue to evolve in a value-conscious market.

Foreign Investment in U.S. Commercial Real Estate Expected to Rise in 2025

Published Monday, February 17, 2025

Foreign investment in U.S. commercial real estate is set to surge in 2025, with the country maintaining its reputation as the world’s safest bet despite economic uncertainty and shifting policies under Trump’s second term. Global investors, including institutions from Japan, Norway, and the Middle East, are pouring billions into specialized assets like logistics, data centers, and senior housing, signaling a strategic shift from past cycles dominated by trophy office towers. While trade tensions, tariffs, and a strong U.S. dollar pose challenges, the potential for market recovery and attractive opportunities continue to draw capital. Institutional investors are back in the game, but cautious—closely watching policy changes that could impact long-term investment strategies.

Recent News

Francesca’s files for bankruptcy; closing all stores

After 25 years of operations, Houston-based women's clothing and accessories chain Francesca's filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the District of New Jersey, with plans to close all approximately 400 stores across 45 states and liquidate. The filing came after a convergence of factors including a 2023 data breach, failed investments in non-core brands, supply chain disruptions after two major suppliers lost their own funding, and the failure of an anticipated capital infusion in December 2025. The company carries about $30.1 million in secured debt, with between $10 million and $50 million in consolidated assets and approximately 1,000 to 5,000 creditors, including landlords Simon Property Group and Tanger Properties listed among its top 30 unsecured creditors. This marks the second bankruptcy filing in six years for Francesca's, which was previously sold out of bankruptcy in January 2021 to an affiliate of private equity firm TerraMar Capital for $18 million.

What to watch in retail in 2026

Retail industry trends for 2026 include continued AI adoption for product research and customer service, value-seeking consumers driving traffic to discount retailers, and shopping malls experiencing a rebound with renewed investment in mixed-use projects. Mall foot traffic increased in 2025, with indoor malls seeing a 1.8% rise in visits and visit durations up 3.3% compared to the first half of 2024, as traditional retail shopping centers transform into destinations for entertainment and experiences. Industry executives remain optimistic, with 96% expecting revenue growth and 81% anticipating margin expansion in 2026, despite challenges including weakened consumer buying power, high interest rates, and competition from mass merchants and value retailers. Specialty retailers face particular vulnerability in 2026 as high interest rates, shifts toward online shopping, and aggressive competition from mass merchants are predicted to push overleveraged companies into bankruptcy.

Bain & Co.: U.S. retail sales to grow 3.5% in 2026

U.S. retail sales are projected to grow 3.5% year-over-year in 2026 to reach $5.3 trillion, slightly down from estimated 4.0% growth in 2025, according to Bain & Company's 2026 Global Retail Sales Outlook. Volume growth will remain modest with inflation projected between 2.6% and 3.0%, as mounting consumer strain and declining confidence affect spending amid economic uncertainty, rising unemployment, and slowing labor supply growth. Bain's Consumer Health Index found that sentiment among higher-income U.S. households, who account for more than half of retail spending, declined in January 2026. The report notes that shoppers increasingly gravitating toward lower-priced and private label goods could create a "flight to value" that tempers nominal sales growth, though reduced taxes, declining fuel prices, and potential interest rate cuts could bolster consumer sentiment and spending power.