In The News

Jersey Mike’s sandwich chain acquired for $8 billion

Published Friday, November 29, 2024

Jersey Mike’s, the fast-growing sandwich chain, is being acquired by Blackstone, a global asset management giant, in a deal that values the company at around $8 billion. The partnership aims to accelerate Jersey Mike’s expansion in the U.S. and beyond while bolstering its tech investments. Founder and CEO Peter Cancro, who famously bought the company as a 17-year-old high school senior in 1975, will stay at the helm and retain a significant equity stake.

With roots tracing back to 1956, Jersey Mike’s has exploded in popularity, tripling its store count over the past decade to more than 2,800 locations. Posting $3.3 billion in sales in 2023, the chain is giving competitors like Subway a run for their money. Blackstone’s investment follows similar moves, such as its acquisition of Tropical Smoothie Cafe, underscoring its focus on backing high-growth franchises.

ICSC: Retail sales to hit nearly $125 billion Thanksgiving through Cyber Monday

Published Wednesday, November 27, 2024

The Thanksgiving-to-Cyber Monday shopping frenzy is set to draw 236 million consumers to stores, with spending projected to hit nearly $125 billion, according to ICSC’s latest survey. A whopping 82% plan to visit malls or shopping centers for deals, dining, and holiday fun, with two-thirds aiming to tackle most of their gift lists during this time. Black Friday and Cyber Monday remain the stars of the show, as brands use promotions to create memorable shopping moments.

Younger generations, especially Gen Z and millennials, are the most eager to shop, though millennials and Gen X are expected to spend the most—about 50% more than others. “Shopping centers are evolving into vibrant spaces for connection and holiday experiences,” said ICSC president Tom McGee, emphasizing the growing importance of physical retail in holiday traditions.

Tampa Bay is the hottest office leasing market in Florida

Published Monday, November 25, 2024

Tampa Bay's office market is outperforming other Florida cities, maintaining steady leasing activity levels that rival pre-pandemic norms. By the third quarter of 2024, Tampa Bay recorded nearly 5 million square feet of office leases, outpacing cities like Miami, where activity has dropped by 20% compared to typical pre-2020 levels. A significant driver of Tampa’s success has been larger lease deals, with 65 tenants committing to spaces over 10,000 square feet this year alone.

Notable transactions include Masonite's massive 128,000-square-foot lease in Ybor City, marking a 50% increase in their occupied space. Despite some downsizing from companies like Bristol Myers Squibb, Tampa's vacancy rate remains stable at 9.5%, unlike Orlando, which faces rising vacancies. The market’s resilience is further bolstered by incoming businesses, with Foot Locker relocating its headquarters to nearby St. Petersburg, signaling continued growth for the region.

Former Best Buy store set for foreclosure auction after bankruptcy

Published Friday, November 22, 2024
 A former Best Buy store in Pinecrest, Florida, is set for foreclosure auction after its owner, Maria Investments, dismissed a bankruptcy case following a settlement. New York-based TMRKAC LLC secured a $14.78 million foreclosure judgment against Maria Investments, which defaulted on a loan that matured in October 2023. The 40,242-square-foot retail property at 11905 S. Dixie Highway will be auctioned online on January 13, as ordered by the Miami-Dade County Circuit Court.

 

Maria Investments had initially filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in June to delay foreclosure but opted for a settlement that allows TMRKAC to collect on its judgment without pursuing further claims against the borrower. The property, built in 1988 and last sold for $2.8 million in 1999, is valued at approximately $9.51 million.

New Whole Foods to anchor shopping center in Boynton Beach

Published Wednesday, November 20, 2024

Whole Foods Market is set to open a new 42,000-sq.-ft. store in Boynton Beach, Florida, on December 10, making it the anchor of the new Boynton Beach Marketplace. The store will showcase over 1,500 local products from 240 Florida suppliers, along with a seafood counter, specialty cheese, curated grocery items, and a prepared foods section with hot bar and fresh sushi. The first 300 customers in line will receive a custom tote bag and coupons with offers up to $100. This expansion adds to Whole Foods' growing footprint, serving communities across 530+ stores in the U.S., Canada, and the U.K.

CNBC/NRF Retail Monitor Shows Strong Retail Sales Gains in October After a Slow September

Published Monday, November 18, 2024
Retail sales surged in October, signaling strong consumer confidence as concerns over port strikes and economic tensions eased, according to the latest CNBC/NRF Retail Monitor. Sales, excluding autos and gas, rose 0.74% from September and jumped 4.13% compared to last year. This rebound follows a dip in September when shoppers were cautious due to geopolitical issues and the end of student loan relief.
 

NRF President Matthew Shay noted that rising wages and job gains drove healthy spending, setting a positive tone for the holiday shopping season. Key gains came from online sales, which skyrocketed 19.38% year over year, along with strong performances in clothing, health, and personal care stores. The report uses real-time credit and debit card data, offering a precise snapshot of consumer behavior across various sectors.

TGI Fridays files for bankruptcy; to explore alternatives

Published Friday, November 15, 2024

TGI Fridays has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy, citing a challenging capital structure and lingering effects from the COVID-19 pandemic. Recently, the Dallas-based restaurant chain closed 50 locations, leaving only 39 company-owned sites in the U.S., though over 460 franchised locations worldwide remain unaffected. With assets and liabilities estimated between $100 million and $500 million, the company plans to use this restructuring to explore strategic alternatives for long-term stability. Despite increased competition and shifting consumer tastes, TGI Fridays aims to protect its brand and support franchisees globally during this transition.

Store closures to continue into 2025, experts say

Published Wednesday, November 13, 2024

Retail closures surged in 2024 and are expected to keep rising, according to Andy Graiser, co-president of A&G Real Estate Partners. Speaking at a recent webinar, Graiser highlighted reduced consumer spending and limited access to capital as key factors squeezing retailers, despite landlords’ optimism. Some chains are leveraging these closures by using “designation rights,” a strategy to take over leases from bankrupt brands for added flexibility and growth. However, construction costs and careful real estate assessment remain crucial. As closures continue across sectors, Graiser warned that the retail landscape will likely stay volatile.

Recent News

What to watch in retail in 2026

Retail industry trends for 2026 include continued AI adoption for product research and customer service, value-seeking consumers driving traffic to discount retailers, and shopping malls experiencing a rebound with renewed investment in mixed-use projects. Mall foot traffic increased in 2025, with indoor malls seeing a 1.8% rise in visits and visit durations up 3.3% compared to the first half of 2024, as traditional retail shopping centers transform into destinations for entertainment and experiences. Industry executives remain optimistic, with 96% expecting revenue growth and 81% anticipating margin expansion in 2026, despite challenges including weakened consumer buying power, high interest rates, and competition from mass merchants and value retailers. Specialty retailers face particular vulnerability in 2026 as high interest rates, shifts toward online shopping, and aggressive competition from mass merchants are predicted to push overleveraged companies into bankruptcy.

Bain & Co.: U.S. retail sales to grow 3.5% in 2026

U.S. retail sales are projected to grow 3.5% year-over-year in 2026 to reach $5.3 trillion, slightly down from estimated 4.0% growth in 2025, according to Bain & Company's 2026 Global Retail Sales Outlook. Volume growth will remain modest with inflation projected between 2.6% and 3.0%, as mounting consumer strain and declining confidence affect spending amid economic uncertainty, rising unemployment, and slowing labor supply growth. Bain's Consumer Health Index found that sentiment among higher-income U.S. households, who account for more than half of retail spending, declined in January 2026. The report notes that shoppers increasingly gravitating toward lower-priced and private label goods could create a "flight to value" that tempers nominal sales growth, though reduced taxes, declining fuel prices, and potential interest rate cuts could bolster consumer sentiment and spending power. 

Tariffs in 2026: Businesses and consumers face the next wave of costs

Inflation is forecast to rise to 2.7% in 2026 as businesses pass more tariff costs to consumers, up from approximately 2.6% in 2025, with consumption growth expected to ease to 1.9% as households work to rebuild savings rates. The Trump tariffs represent the largest U.S. tax increase as a percentage of GDP since 1993, amounting to an average household tax increase of $1,500 in 2026, with the weighted average applied tariff rate on all imports rising to 15.8%. Goldman Sachs economists estimate that as of August, U.S. businesses were absorbing 51% of tariff costs while American consumers shouldered 37% of the burden, though consumers are projected to absorb 55% by the end of 2025. Manufacturers have expressed that tariffs are hurting consumer demand, pushing up prices, and complicating business planning, with some firms shifting focus from efficiency-improving capital investments to mitigating tariff costs.