In The News

Why the construction outlook for 2025 looks 'cloudy'

Published Monday, December 2, 2024

The U.S. construction industry faces a dynamic and uncertain future as it heads into 2025. Key factors, including the impact of President-elect Donald Trump's policies on tariffs and immigration, could reshape labor availability and material costs. Economic conditions, such as interest rates and market demand, will further influence which sectors thrive or stall.

Despite stabilized construction costs after recent inflation, financing remains expensive, and labor shortages persist, with immigrant workers playing a critical role in the workforce. Developers are preparing for potential policy shifts by accelerating pre-development activities, but challenges like high subcontractor premiums and supply constraints loom large.

Tariffs could introduce additional complexity, raising project costs while potentially spurring domestic manufacturing. For now, builders and contractors are bracing for change, navigating a landscape where strategic preparation is key to staying competitive.

Jersey Mike’s sandwich chain acquired for $8 billion

Published Friday, November 29, 2024

Jersey Mike’s, the fast-growing sandwich chain, is being acquired by Blackstone, a global asset management giant, in a deal that values the company at around $8 billion. The partnership aims to accelerate Jersey Mike’s expansion in the U.S. and beyond while bolstering its tech investments. Founder and CEO Peter Cancro, who famously bought the company as a 17-year-old high school senior in 1975, will stay at the helm and retain a significant equity stake.

With roots tracing back to 1956, Jersey Mike’s has exploded in popularity, tripling its store count over the past decade to more than 2,800 locations. Posting $3.3 billion in sales in 2023, the chain is giving competitors like Subway a run for their money. Blackstone’s investment follows similar moves, such as its acquisition of Tropical Smoothie Cafe, underscoring its focus on backing high-growth franchises.

ICSC: Retail sales to hit nearly $125 billion Thanksgiving through Cyber Monday

Published Wednesday, November 27, 2024

The Thanksgiving-to-Cyber Monday shopping frenzy is set to draw 236 million consumers to stores, with spending projected to hit nearly $125 billion, according to ICSC’s latest survey. A whopping 82% plan to visit malls or shopping centers for deals, dining, and holiday fun, with two-thirds aiming to tackle most of their gift lists during this time. Black Friday and Cyber Monday remain the stars of the show, as brands use promotions to create memorable shopping moments.

Younger generations, especially Gen Z and millennials, are the most eager to shop, though millennials and Gen X are expected to spend the most—about 50% more than others. “Shopping centers are evolving into vibrant spaces for connection and holiday experiences,” said ICSC president Tom McGee, emphasizing the growing importance of physical retail in holiday traditions.

Tampa Bay is the hottest office leasing market in Florida

Published Monday, November 25, 2024

Tampa Bay's office market is outperforming other Florida cities, maintaining steady leasing activity levels that rival pre-pandemic norms. By the third quarter of 2024, Tampa Bay recorded nearly 5 million square feet of office leases, outpacing cities like Miami, where activity has dropped by 20% compared to typical pre-2020 levels. A significant driver of Tampa’s success has been larger lease deals, with 65 tenants committing to spaces over 10,000 square feet this year alone.

Notable transactions include Masonite's massive 128,000-square-foot lease in Ybor City, marking a 50% increase in their occupied space. Despite some downsizing from companies like Bristol Myers Squibb, Tampa's vacancy rate remains stable at 9.5%, unlike Orlando, which faces rising vacancies. The market’s resilience is further bolstered by incoming businesses, with Foot Locker relocating its headquarters to nearby St. Petersburg, signaling continued growth for the region.

Former Best Buy store set for foreclosure auction after bankruptcy

Published Friday, November 22, 2024
 A former Best Buy store in Pinecrest, Florida, is set for foreclosure auction after its owner, Maria Investments, dismissed a bankruptcy case following a settlement. New York-based TMRKAC LLC secured a $14.78 million foreclosure judgment against Maria Investments, which defaulted on a loan that matured in October 2023. The 40,242-square-foot retail property at 11905 S. Dixie Highway will be auctioned online on January 13, as ordered by the Miami-Dade County Circuit Court.

 

Maria Investments had initially filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in June to delay foreclosure but opted for a settlement that allows TMRKAC to collect on its judgment without pursuing further claims against the borrower. The property, built in 1988 and last sold for $2.8 million in 1999, is valued at approximately $9.51 million.

New Whole Foods to anchor shopping center in Boynton Beach

Published Wednesday, November 20, 2024

Whole Foods Market is set to open a new 42,000-sq.-ft. store in Boynton Beach, Florida, on December 10, making it the anchor of the new Boynton Beach Marketplace. The store will showcase over 1,500 local products from 240 Florida suppliers, along with a seafood counter, specialty cheese, curated grocery items, and a prepared foods section with hot bar and fresh sushi. The first 300 customers in line will receive a custom tote bag and coupons with offers up to $100. This expansion adds to Whole Foods' growing footprint, serving communities across 530+ stores in the U.S., Canada, and the U.K.

CNBC/NRF Retail Monitor Shows Strong Retail Sales Gains in October After a Slow September

Published Monday, November 18, 2024
Retail sales surged in October, signaling strong consumer confidence as concerns over port strikes and economic tensions eased, according to the latest CNBC/NRF Retail Monitor. Sales, excluding autos and gas, rose 0.74% from September and jumped 4.13% compared to last year. This rebound follows a dip in September when shoppers were cautious due to geopolitical issues and the end of student loan relief.
 

NRF President Matthew Shay noted that rising wages and job gains drove healthy spending, setting a positive tone for the holiday shopping season. Key gains came from online sales, which skyrocketed 19.38% year over year, along with strong performances in clothing, health, and personal care stores. The report uses real-time credit and debit card data, offering a precise snapshot of consumer behavior across various sectors.

TGI Fridays files for bankruptcy; to explore alternatives

Published Friday, November 15, 2024

TGI Fridays has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy, citing a challenging capital structure and lingering effects from the COVID-19 pandemic. Recently, the Dallas-based restaurant chain closed 50 locations, leaving only 39 company-owned sites in the U.S., though over 460 franchised locations worldwide remain unaffected. With assets and liabilities estimated between $100 million and $500 million, the company plans to use this restructuring to explore strategic alternatives for long-term stability. Despite increased competition and shifting consumer tastes, TGI Fridays aims to protect its brand and support franchisees globally during this transition.

Recent News

Francesca’s files for bankruptcy; closing all stores

After 25 years of operations, Houston-based women's clothing and accessories chain Francesca's filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the District of New Jersey, with plans to close all approximately 400 stores across 45 states and liquidate. The filing came after a convergence of factors including a 2023 data breach, failed investments in non-core brands, supply chain disruptions after two major suppliers lost their own funding, and the failure of an anticipated capital infusion in December 2025. The company carries about $30.1 million in secured debt, with between $10 million and $50 million in consolidated assets and approximately 1,000 to 5,000 creditors, including landlords Simon Property Group and Tanger Properties listed among its top 30 unsecured creditors. This marks the second bankruptcy filing in six years for Francesca's, which was previously sold out of bankruptcy in January 2021 to an affiliate of private equity firm TerraMar Capital for $18 million.

What to watch in retail in 2026

Retail industry trends for 2026 include continued AI adoption for product research and customer service, value-seeking consumers driving traffic to discount retailers, and shopping malls experiencing a rebound with renewed investment in mixed-use projects. Mall foot traffic increased in 2025, with indoor malls seeing a 1.8% rise in visits and visit durations up 3.3% compared to the first half of 2024, as traditional retail shopping centers transform into destinations for entertainment and experiences. Industry executives remain optimistic, with 96% expecting revenue growth and 81% anticipating margin expansion in 2026, despite challenges including weakened consumer buying power, high interest rates, and competition from mass merchants and value retailers. Specialty retailers face particular vulnerability in 2026 as high interest rates, shifts toward online shopping, and aggressive competition from mass merchants are predicted to push overleveraged companies into bankruptcy.

Bain & Co.: U.S. retail sales to grow 3.5% in 2026

U.S. retail sales are projected to grow 3.5% year-over-year in 2026 to reach $5.3 trillion, slightly down from estimated 4.0% growth in 2025, according to Bain & Company's 2026 Global Retail Sales Outlook. Volume growth will remain modest with inflation projected between 2.6% and 3.0%, as mounting consumer strain and declining confidence affect spending amid economic uncertainty, rising unemployment, and slowing labor supply growth. Bain's Consumer Health Index found that sentiment among higher-income U.S. households, who account for more than half of retail spending, declined in January 2026. The report notes that shoppers increasingly gravitating toward lower-priced and private label goods could create a "flight to value" that tempers nominal sales growth, though reduced taxes, declining fuel prices, and potential interest rate cuts could bolster consumer sentiment and spending power.