In The News

Consumer confidence declines to five-month low in September on job worries

Published Monday, October 6, 2025

U.S. consumer confidence slipped in September to its lowest point since April, reflecting growing worries about jobs, inflation, and the broader economy. The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index dropped to 94.2, with job availability and current financial conditions seeing sharp declines. Inflation remained the top concern for households, while recession fears ticked higher. Despite weaker intentions to buy cars and travel, home-buying plans climbed to a four-month high, and electronics like smartphones saw increased demand.

Forever 21 may open stores in the US, after all

Published Friday, October 3, 2025

Forever 21 may have closed all of its U.S. stores after bankruptcy, but a comeback is already in motion. Authentic Brands Group, which owns the fast-fashion label’s IP, has secured new e-commerce and wholesale deals and is now in advanced talks with a retail partner to bring physical locations back to the U.S. While details remain under wraps, the move signals ABG’s strategy to balance Forever 21’s digital presence with a renewed brick-and-mortar footprint—aiming to keep the brand relevant in both shopping malls and online marketplaces.

RCS secures lease agreements to keep Claire's stores open

Published Wednesday, October 1, 2025

Claire’s, the iconic teen accessories retailer, is getting a new lease on life—literally. Following its $140M+ acquisition by private equity firm Ames Watson, RCS Real Estate Advisors has been tapped to reshape the brand’s store footprint, securing more than 800 finalized leases with the potential to expand to 950 locations across major U.S. and Canadian markets. Once weighed down by bankruptcy and growing competition from online players like Shein and Temu, Claire’s is now positioning itself for a fresh chapter—preserving jobs, revitalizing stores, and modernizing its brand for the next generation of shoppers.

Lululemon’s ‘downward spiral’ — and how the brand plans to break out of it

Published Monday, September 29, 2025

Lululemon, once the undisputed leader in premium athleisure, is facing a wake-up call: consumers are calling its assortment predictable, competitors like Alo and Vuori are gaining traction, and even Costco’s dupes are stealing attention. While the activewear category overall is growing, Lululemon’s slower trend adoption, reliance on core products, and muted casual offerings have left the brand vulnerable. Now, with sales softening in North America and analysts warning of cracks in its core, the retailer is doubling down on innovation—promising to increase new styles, lean into AI-driven product design, and recapture the excitement that made it a powerhouse. Whether this strategy is enough to keep its $100 leggings a must-have remains to be seen.

No US stores in Forever 21’s comeback plans

Published Friday, September 26, 2025

Forever 21 is entering a new phase after its U.S. operator filed for bankruptcy and shuttered all stores earlier this year. Authentic Brands Group has secured three fresh partnerships to keep the brand alive digitally and in wholesale: Unique Brands will oversee U.S. e-commerce and men’s wholesale, Mark Edwards Apparel will manage women’s wholesale, and Kidz Concepts will handle kidswear. While its U.S. brick-and-mortar era has ended, Forever 21 continues to reach consumers through online channels, wholesale, and select international pop-ups. Still, the brand faces tough competition from low-cost rivals like Shein and Temu, as well as shifting consumer habits — making this digital-first revival a challenging but strategic next chapter.

Retailers battle the rising costs of medical, liability claims

Published Wednesday, September 24, 2025

Rising medical and liability claims costs are reshaping the retail earnings picture, even for the industry’s strongest performers. Walmart, Dollar Tree, Dollar General, and Best Buy all flagged higher claim expenses in Q2 — with Walmart alone taking a $450 million hit beyond expectations. While claim volumes remain steady, settlement costs are climbing sharply, cutting into operating income and driving up SG&A expenses. With health plan costs projected to keep rising in 2025, retailers are bracing for continued financial pressure, even as sales growth remains strong across the board.

Toys”R”Us to open 10 U.S. flagships by year-end; locations include…

Published Monday, September 22, 2025

Toys“R”Us is making a big comeback, expanding both in the U.S. and internationally just in time for the holiday season. Partnering with Go! Retail Group, the brand will debut 10 new flagships and 20 pop-up holiday shops by year’s end, starting with Chicago Premium Outlets on Sept. 20. The retailer is also growing its presence on military bases and entering new global markets like Chile, Morocco, and Lebanon, while strengthening its footprint in the U.K., Mexico, South Africa, and South Korea. With fresh in-store experiences, global activations, and the return of fan-favorite events, Toys“R”Us is doubling down on bringing joy to kids and families everywhere.

Barnes & Noble to acquire bankrupt Books Inc. for $3.25M

Published Wednesday, September 17, 2025

Books Inc., the 174-year-old California-based bookstore chain, has filed a motion to sell its assets to a Barnes & Noble affiliate for $3.25 million. If approved, the deal will allow Books Inc. to preserve its independent branding and continue operating nine stores, while loyalty points and gift cards remain valid. The acquisition marks another step in Barnes & Noble’s expansion strategy, following its 2024 purchase of Tattered Cover, and underscores how the once-feared national chain is now seen as a lifeline for struggling independents in an industry reshaped by Amazon and shifting consumer habits.

Recent News

Francesca’s files for bankruptcy; closing all stores

After 25 years of operations, Houston-based women's clothing and accessories chain Francesca's filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the District of New Jersey, with plans to close all approximately 400 stores across 45 states and liquidate. The filing came after a convergence of factors including a 2023 data breach, failed investments in non-core brands, supply chain disruptions after two major suppliers lost their own funding, and the failure of an anticipated capital infusion in December 2025. The company carries about $30.1 million in secured debt, with between $10 million and $50 million in consolidated assets and approximately 1,000 to 5,000 creditors, including landlords Simon Property Group and Tanger Properties listed among its top 30 unsecured creditors. This marks the second bankruptcy filing in six years for Francesca's, which was previously sold out of bankruptcy in January 2021 to an affiliate of private equity firm TerraMar Capital for $18 million.

What to watch in retail in 2026

Retail industry trends for 2026 include continued AI adoption for product research and customer service, value-seeking consumers driving traffic to discount retailers, and shopping malls experiencing a rebound with renewed investment in mixed-use projects. Mall foot traffic increased in 2025, with indoor malls seeing a 1.8% rise in visits and visit durations up 3.3% compared to the first half of 2024, as traditional retail shopping centers transform into destinations for entertainment and experiences. Industry executives remain optimistic, with 96% expecting revenue growth and 81% anticipating margin expansion in 2026, despite challenges including weakened consumer buying power, high interest rates, and competition from mass merchants and value retailers. Specialty retailers face particular vulnerability in 2026 as high interest rates, shifts toward online shopping, and aggressive competition from mass merchants are predicted to push overleveraged companies into bankruptcy.

Bain & Co.: U.S. retail sales to grow 3.5% in 2026

U.S. retail sales are projected to grow 3.5% year-over-year in 2026 to reach $5.3 trillion, slightly down from estimated 4.0% growth in 2025, according to Bain & Company's 2026 Global Retail Sales Outlook. Volume growth will remain modest with inflation projected between 2.6% and 3.0%, as mounting consumer strain and declining confidence affect spending amid economic uncertainty, rising unemployment, and slowing labor supply growth. Bain's Consumer Health Index found that sentiment among higher-income U.S. households, who account for more than half of retail spending, declined in January 2026. The report notes that shoppers increasingly gravitating toward lower-priced and private label goods could create a "flight to value" that tempers nominal sales growth, though reduced taxes, declining fuel prices, and potential interest rate cuts could bolster consumer sentiment and spending power.