In The News

Walmart to remodel 650-plus stores in 2026; details new openings

Published Friday, April 24, 2026

Walmart has unveiled an aggressive expansion and modernization plan for its 2026 fiscal year, focusing on enhancing its physical footprint to meet evolving consumer habits. The retail giant plans to remodel more than 650 stores (including Supercenters and Neighborhood Markets) and open approximately 20 new locations across North America through early 2027.

AI Is Rewiring Underwriting, But Can Real Estate Trust It?

Published Wednesday, April 22, 2026

The commercial real estate industry is facing a significant "trust gap" when it comes to delegating high-stakes financial decisions to AI. While AI can process data at lightning speeds, industry leaders remain hesitant to let algorithms lead the underwriting process for multi-million dollar deals.

7-Eleven says it's closing 645 US stores in the next year

Published Friday, April 17, 2026

7-Eleven is set to close 645 stores across North America (the U.S., Canada, and Mexico) during its 2026 fiscal year, which runs through February 2027. This move is part of a massive strategic "optimization" by its Japan-based parent company, Seven & i Holdings, to boost profitability and modernize its retail footprint.

Trust, privacy concerns holding back consumers from AI shopping tool adoption

Published Wednesday, April 15, 2026

The adoption of AI-driven shopping tools is currently hindered by a significant gap in consumer trust and privacy concerns. While interest in AI is high, only 39% of Americans trust AI agents to handle everyday purchases, and even fewer (34%) are comfortable using them for larger items.

The report highlights a "privacy paradox": consumers want the convenience and personalization AI offers, but are deeply skeptical of how their data is used. Key barriers include:

  • Transparency: A lack of clarity on how AI models process personal data.

  • Accuracy: Fears that AI might make incorrect purchasing decisions or provide poor recommendations.

  • Security: Concerns regarding data breaches and the potential for financial fraud.

For retailers to bridge this gap, the study suggests focusing on "Responsible AI"—demonstrating ethical data usage, providing clear opt-out options, and ensuring that the AI provides a tangible benefit that outweighs the perceived privacy risk.

Retail sales to grow 4.4% in 2026; outlook tops average growth of past 10 years

Published Friday, April 3, 2026

The National Retail Federation forecast that retail sales in 2026 will grow 4.4% over 2025 to reach $5.6 trillion, exceeding the 3.6% average annual sales growth over the past 10 years excluding the pandemic period. The forecast, developed in partnership with Oxford Economics, notes that higher-income households will drive the majority of spending growth across retail categories, with consumer activity receiving a modest boost from tax refunds associated with the Working Families Tax Cut Act.  Although consumer sentiment is not expected to improve significantly and remains historically low, NRF emphasizes that sentiment has remained disconnected from actual spending patterns, with solid fundamentals including income growth, household balance sheets, and labor market stability expected to support consumer activity. While the forecast presents a stronger outlook than most recent projections, renewed tensions in the Middle East and trade policy challenges add uncertainty, though these geopolitical events were not factored into the current forecast and could trigger a revision if circumstances dictate. 

Retailers report shrink levels down from pandemic highs

Published Wednesday, April 1, 2026

Multiple major retailers report that shrink levels have declined significantly and are returning to pre-pandemic levels, with industry experts calling it "a nonevent" compared to recent years. Target's shrink returned to pre-pandemic levels in early 2026, down from expectations that shrink would reduce 2022 profits by $600 million, with executives attributing improvements to team efforts and industry collaboration against retail theft. Loss prevention experts suggest the improvement stems primarily from inventory predictability and supply chain stability rather than dramatic drops in shoplifting, as the pandemic-era supply chain disruptions that caused excess inventory in 2022 have now stabilized. Industry consultant Brand Elverston estimates that shrink losses are likely split evenly between theft and operational breakdowns such as inventory management errors, challenging the long-held narrative that theft accounts for nearly 70% of losses. 

Torrid to close 30 stores as optimization program enters final phase

Published Thursday, March 26, 2026

Plus-size apparel retailer Torrid plans to close up to 30 additional stores by the end of the first half of fiscal 2026, completing a store optimization program that saw 151 locations close in fiscal 2025. The company achieved $18.5 million in operating expense reductions from the 2025 closures and minimized exit costs by structuring closures around natural lease expirations, with customer retention rates from closed locations performing consistently with historical levels. Torrid delivered $1 billion in fiscal 2025 net sales and $63.6 million in adjusted EBITDA, exceeding expectations, while launching five sub-brands that generated approximately $70 million in sales. For fiscal 2026, the company projects net sales of $940 million to $960 million and adjusted EBITDA of $65 million to $75 million, representing up to 140 basis points of margin expansion as it focuses on customer acquisition and digital growth. 

Michaels cuts prices on 3K more items as consumers waver

Published Wednesday, March 25, 2026

Arts and crafts retailer Michaels announced it is cutting prices on more than 3,000 items as consumers remain price-conscious and economically uncertain. The price reductions average 10% lower than original prices and span categories including arts and crafts, party goods, sewing supplies, home décor, and DIY materials, representing the final phase of a value-driven initiative rolled out over recent months. In October, Michaels also reduced the price of in-store birthday parties by 50% and lowered prices on over 200 party products by between 25-70%. The company is attempting to attract budget-conscious shoppers and capture customers from former competitors like Party City and Joann while economic pressures including rising gas prices and global uncertainty raise concerns about weakening consumer spending.

Recent News

U.S. Retail Supply Is Tightening, But Few Developers Plan To Build New Product

Only 64.2 million square feet of new retail space was under construction nationwide during the first quarter of 2026, a decline of roughly 8% from 70 million square feet in Q1 2025 and well below the 10-year average of 90 million square feet, according to CoStar Group data. The pullback in construction reflects a difficult development environment as sharp rises in land prices, construction costs, and interest rates over recent years have pushed required rents well above prevailing market levels for many retail formats. Beyond cost pressures, developers remain cautious following years of heightened supply risk awareness, while competition for sites from higher-density residential, industrial, and mixed-use projects further constrains retail development opportunities, particularly in infill locations. Despite tight construction pipelines, retail transaction volume reached $15.3 billion in Q1 2026, up 5% year-over-year, with national vacancy at 4.4% and institutional investors expanding allocations to the sector as retailers favor measured, capital-disciplined expansion strategies.

The TikTok effect: How viral trends are changing visual merchandising

The average viral trend on TikTok lasts just five to 10 days before attention shifts, and with 42% of Gen Z consumers in the U.S. discovering new products on TikTok, brands need to move much faster than the traditional six to 24 month product-to-shelf timeline. TikTok has become a powerful launchpad for products with over 1.04 billion active monthly users, putting retail cycles into overdrive as brands capitalize on the platform's ability to spark viral moments and drive high demand. Examples include chef influencer Tineke Younger's viral mac and cheese recipe leading to a Nestlé Carnation collaboration for limited-edition Kickin' Jalapeño Flavored Evaporated Milk, and the infamous "Labubu" dolls generating 1.4 million-plus TikTok posts leading to chaotic scenes in UK stores. Gen Z-focused brands like Halara, Edikted, and Cider are testing physical retail through pop-up stores to create immersive brand experiences and translate TikTok buzz into real-world engagement using temporary store formats with flexible fixture setups and trend-responsive visuals.

Consumer sentiment falls to record low as gas prices, inflation worries rise

The University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment fell 10% in May 2026 to 44.8, marking the third consecutive monthly decline and dropping just below the previous historical low seen in June 2022, as supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz continued to lift gasoline prices. The Current Conditions Index plunged 12.8% to 45.8 and is down 22% year-over-year, while the Index of Consumer Expectations declined 8.3% to 44.1, with consumers anticipating business conditions will worsen over both short and long time horizons. Nearly 40% of consumers offered unsolicited comments about gas prices during interviews, up from 33% the previous month, with lower-income consumers and those without college degrees posting particularly strong declines as these groups are more sensitive to increases in gas costs, which have risen sharply by more than 50% since the start of the Iran conflict. Consumers expect prices to rise 4.8% over the next year, up from 4.7% in April, with longer-term inflation expectations also climbing sharply, raising concerns that inflation will spread beyond fuel prices even in the long run